Figure Technology: Stellar Partner Productivity Will Drive Growth

Krzysztof Bogdanski 84 Followers Follow Summary Figure Technology Solutions is rated a buy with a $56 fair value, as the market mispriced it as a lender rather than a rapidly scaling marketplace. CLM volume grew 132% YoY, ecosystem and technology fees surged 159.7%, and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 54.6%, despite net take rate falling to 3.6%. 80% of FIGR’s loan volume never touches its balance sheet, with Connect now carrying 65% (and being guided higher) by marketplace volume and partner adoption accelerating due to cost and efficiency advantages. Key risks include partner and product concentration, evolving non-GAAP definitions, and reliance on affiliated buyers, but platform scalability and margin expansion underpin the bullish thesis. fadfebrian/iStock via Getty Images I rate Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. ( FIGR ) a buy (on the verge of a strong buy due to Friday's Warsh speech and a key metric disclosure), with a fair value of roughly $56 per share against the current $37.08, based This article was written by Krzysztof Bogdanski 84 Followers Follow I am an individual investor with a long-term focus on identifying high-quality businesses. Having most of my past investments appreciating aggressively, I tend to sell them when they are deemed to have run too far. My primary areas of interest include: technology, financial services, software, and businesses benefiting from durable competitive advantages and secular growth trends. While I closely follow macroeconomic developments and capital markets, my investment decisions are driven primarily by company fundamentals, management quality, competitive positioning, capital allocation, and long-term earnings potential rather than short-term market movements. I recently graduated from IB World School 002709 with 38 points. This autumn, I'm starting a Bachelor's degree in Finance and Accounting at SGH Warsaw School of Economics (class of '29). As soon as I become eligible, I intend to enroll in the CFA Program to further strengthen my understanding of financial markets. Although I am at the beginning of my professional journey and do not yet have institutional investing experience, I have been actively investing for 2 years and have developed a research-driven investment process. Since March 2024, my family portfolio has generated a return of approximately 160% through investments in U.S. equities. While I recognize that past performance over a relatively short period does not guarantee future results, I am keen to now take it much more seriously (with more time to both deepen my knowledge and perform analyses). Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in FIGR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.