NexGold Mining: Complicated, But With Enough Green Flags To Root For

Sidharth Kumar 143 Followers Follow Summary NexGold Mining trades at a deep 0.13x P/NAV despite fully permitted, high-grade Goldboro and significant leverage to gold prices. Key catalysts are the updated Goldboro Feasibility Study (due by year-end), a 2026 construction decision, and gold holding above $4,300/oz. Major risk is dilution: Goldboro and Goliath require ~$620M in capex, implying 35% equity dilution even with existing cash and debt facilities. A conservative re-rating to 0.3x P/NAV at $3,500/oz gold implies 60% upside, but execution and funding are critical to unlock value. The Creative Drone/DigitalVision via Getty Images Note: Since the feasibility study figures and costs are in Canadian dollars (C$), the C$ value has been used for calculations, and wherever an original source is cited, the final figures are presented in US dollar ($) equivalent. This article was written by Sidharth Kumar 143 Followers Follow A lawyer by training, a regulator by temperament, and an investor for the fun of it. I have been an options trader for 12 years now, since I was an engineering undergrad. My trading drew my towards law - I was particularly fascinated by hard assets such as land and commodities, and the role regulations play in shaping such assets. I briefly worked as a transaction lawyer with a law firm in Mumbai, where I advised on investments by PE funds (Prosus, Gladebrook) and SWFs (mainly Singapore). I am now in the middle of a move to academia, with some time on my hands to explore and write on the markets. I am fascinated by the intersection of law, economics and the markets. I actively look for convexity and asymmetric bets, and regulatory alpha. My sectoral interests are in metals, power, infrastructure and real estate. My main research interest is macro-economic policy and its effect on financial flows. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.