Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

U.S. stock futures are trending lower early Monday as investors brace for a critical week featuring Nvidia Corp. ‘s (NVDA) highly anticipated earnings , a pivotal Federal Reserve speech at Jackson Hole, and intensifying economic warfare in the Middle East. The Polymarket (CRYPTO: POL) crowd is leaning slightly bearish for the Aug. 24 trading session. The “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?” contract currently reflects only a 45% chance of a higher open.

Traders are balancing microeconomic resilience against escalating geopolitical and macroeconomic risks:

Lower Index Futures: Equity futures are pointing to a negative open. S&P 500 futures fell 0.11%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.35%. Dow Jones futures slipped 0.05%, while Russell 2000 futures remained flat at 0.00%.

Geopolitical Escalation: The U.S. threatened an “economic...