
MercadoLibre: The Trend Has Turned, And I'm Buying The Breakout
Seeking Alpha
Published: Aug 20, 2026, 11:16 AM
Oliver Rodzianko 7.14K Followers Follow Summary MercadoLibre is rated a Strong Buy, with technicals signaling a trend reversal and favorable entry near the 200-week MA. MELI’s premium valuation is justified by a dominant LatAm ecosystem, robust 28.4% forward EPS CAGR, and limited competition. Correlation with software and Bitcoin sentiment offers upside potential, while MELI appears less exposed to AI and semiconductor hype risk. Key risks include credit quality, LatAm macro/regulatory factors, and potential margin compression from logistics and fintech investments. traveler1116/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images I haven't written on MercadoLibre ( MELI ) in a while, and the last time I bought it I exited quickly as I realized the downtrend would be longer than I initially expected. Now, we have had a trend This article was written by Oliver Rodzianko 7.14K Followers Follow Oliver Rodzianko is Director of Invictus Origin and a private investor managing a high-alpha portfolio strategy focused on rotation and disciplined cash deployment during market dislocations. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MELI; AMZN either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. I have exposure to BTC through MSTR. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Source: Seeking Alpha
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