Gemini Space Station: Goldman Just Handed You The Entry Point

Timur Mekhantev 65 Followers Follow Summary Gemini Space Station, Inc. is rated Speculative Buy with a 12-month price target of $7–$8, despite a 90% post-IPO decline. GEMI’s unique regulatory stack (DCM, DCO, FINRA) is valued near zero by the market, yet provides a competitive moat competitors cannot quickly replicate. Revenue grew 42% in Q1 2026 despite a 53% spot trading volume decline, with new products (prediction markets, equities, agentic trading) driving diversification. Key risks include the $1.2B NYAG lawsuit, spot volume share loss, credit book delinquency, and dilution risk; Q2 earnings on August 13 is the next binary catalyst. Irina Fedorova/iStock Editorial via Getty Images I rate Gemini Space Station, Inc. ( GEMI) a Speculative Buy with a 12-month price target of $7–$8. The stock price has fallen 90% from its September 2025 IPO high of $45.89 and This article was written by Timur Mekhantev 65 Followers Follow Independent financial analyst and investment researcher with a background in finance, economics, and digital asset markets. Combines top-down macroeconomic analysis with fundamental security evaluation — covering equities, ETFs, stablecoins, and crypto-native public companies.Research philosophy is built on three pillars: macroeconomic cycle analysis, capital structure evaluation, and on-chain data; applied together to identify mispriced assets before they reach consensus. Particular focus on the intersection of traditional finance and blockchain infrastructure, where institutional capital is moving but most retail frameworks still lag.Contributes equity research and market analysis to Seeking Alpha, translating SEC filings, earnings transcripts, and on-chain data into clear, actionable investment theses for independent investors. Coverage includes digital asset infrastructure, stablecoin economics, and crypto-native public companies at the moment of structural transition, but not after the market has already priced it in. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.