Chewy: A Discount The Numbers Don't Justify

Chewy remains a Strong Buy, with valuation implying a high margin of safety even under conservative assumptions and challenging macro conditions. Q1 delivered 7.7% YoY net sales growth, $71M FCF, record profitability, and nearly 200,000 net customer additions despite consumer headwinds. CHWY's guidance reflects macro pressure: net sales are expected at $13.40–$13.55B and Adj. EBITDA margin at 6.6–6.8%, but long-term potential remains intact. Intrinsic value is estimated well above current levels, with prudent risk-reward and upside from macro improvement or business execution.