The Tech Sector Is Leaning Over Its Skis Again

Summary Technology stocks, led by semiconductors, drove the Nasdaq to new highs on AI optimism following Meta Platform's Muse app launch. Despite 2.5 million free downloads of Muse, I question the monetization potential and sustainability of AI-driven demand for chipmakers like INTC and AMD. Security concerns and overinvestment in AI infrastructure risk overcapacity, commoditization, and prolonged paths to profitability for tech sector leaders. I favor the equally weighted S&P 500 at 16x forward earnings over chasing fully valued, cyclical technology 'picks and shovels.' This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Portfolio Architect. Learn More » kurga/iStock via Getty Images The major market indexes soared yesterday in reaction to a sharp decline in oil prices and a pullback in long-term interest rates. The catalysts were several reports that improved investor sentiment. President Trump indicated that he would be open to meeting with This article was written by Lawrence Fuller 24.3K Followers Follow Lawrence Fuller has been managing portfolios for individual investors for 30 years, starting his career at Merrill Lynch in 1993 and working in the same capacity with several other Wall Street firms before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence when he founded Fuller Asset Management. He also manages investment portfolios on the new fintech platforms called Dub, as well as PiTrade, which are copy-trading platforms approved by securities regulators in the US, allowing retail investors to copy the portfolio and ongoing trades of the manager they choose automatically. You can also find him on Substack and lawrencefuller.substack.com.He is the leader of the investing group The Portfolio Architect, which focuses on an overall economic and market outlook that complements an all-weather investment strategy designed to produce consistent risk-adjusted market returns. Features include: Portfolio construction guidance, access to an “All-Weather” model portfolio and a dividend and options income portfolio, a daily brief summarizing current events, a week ahead newsletter, technical and fundamental reports, trade alerts, and 24/7 chat. Learn More. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of RSP, INTC either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Lawrence Fuller is the Principal of Fuller Asset Management (FAM), a state registered investment adviser. He is also the manager of the Focused Growth portfolio on the copy-trading platform Dubapp.com. Information presented is for educational purposes only intended for a broad audience. The information does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale of purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. FAM has reasonable belief that this marketing does not include any false or material misleading statements or omissions of facts regarding services, investment, or client experience. FAM has reasonable belief that the content as a whole will not cause an untrue or misleading implication regarding the adviser’s services, investments, or client experiences. Past performance of specific investment advice should not be relied upon without knowledge of certain circumstances or market events, nature and timing of investments and relevant constraints of the investment. FAM has presented information in a fair and balanced manner. FAM is not giving tax, legal, or accounting advice. Mr. Fuller may discuss and display charts, graphs, formulas, and stock picks which are not intended to be used by themselves to determine which securities to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell them. Such charts and graphs offer limited information and should not be used on their own to make investment decisions. Consultation with a licensed financial professional is strongly suggested. The opinions expressed herein are those of the firm and are subject to change without notice. The opinions referenced are as of the date of publication and are subject to change due to changes in market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.