Applied Digital: A Risky Play With Material Upside

Summary I reiterate Applied Digital Corporation with a Strong Buy and a revised of $70. APLD now boasts 1,410MW of contracted IT load across five campuses, equating to $36 billion in initial 15-year lease revenue. Q4 2026 results confirmed APLD's ability to convert AI data center leases into EBITDA, with $42.4 million adjusted EBITDA and $12.9 million adjusted net income. Valuation remains elevated at 36.15x FWD EV/EBITDA, justified by 106.76% FWD revenue growth and 174.92% FWD EBITDA growth versus sector medians. Trevor Williams/DigitalVision via Getty Images Investment Thesis I'm reiterating Applied Digital ( APLD ) with a Strong Buy rating. I am also revising my price target from $54 to $70. One of the major reasons for this is that I believe This article was written by The Curious Analyst 5.39K Followers Follow My background is in Financial Engineering and I have long since been interested in analyzing strong solid companies with a rare financial Profile. My primary area of specialization is in quantamental analysis, where I use a combination of data driven models and fundamental research. My approach is centered on a structured process that combines top-down screening with bottom-up company specific analysis .I write on to share ideas with a wider audience and also learn more about companies and other analysts. My goal is to make unique ideas & research accessible to retail and professional investors alike, while maintaining analytical depth and a clear investment thesis.Associated with another author Kennedy Njagi Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in APLD over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.