Alibaba: AI Transformation Offsets E-Commerce Drag, Reiterate Buy

Astrada Advisors 1.1K Followers Follow Summary Alibaba delivered in-line revenue but missed on EPS due to aggressive AI investment and negative free cash flow. BABA’s AI and cloud business posted +45% y/y growth, with AI-related product revenue growing triple-digit for the 12th consecutive quarter. Quick Commerce drove China ecommerce EBITA improvement, but core CMR revenue remains pressured by weak macro and competitive headwinds. We reiterate a bullish view with a $128–$148/share valuation, contingent on sustained AI momentum and ecommerce stability. Getty Images Alibaba ( BABA ) reported a June quarter with largely in-line revenue, but earnings missed on higher spend in AI-related services. The 20% miss on EPS, EBITA contraction due to losses in AI labs and applications, and accelerated negative free cash flow weighed This article was written by Astrada Advisors 1.1K Followers Follow Astrada Advisors delivers actionable recommendations that enhance portfolio performance and uncover alpha opportunities, supported by a strong track record in investment research at leading global investment banks. With expertise spanning technology, media, internet, and consumer sectors in North America and Asia, Astrada Advisors excels in identifying high-potential investments and navigating complex industries.Leveraging extensive local and global experience, Astrada Advisors offers a unique perspective on market developments, regulatory changes, and emerging risks. The research integrates rigorous fundamental analysis with data-driven insights, providing a nuanced understanding of key trends, growth drivers, and competitive landscapes.The focus is empowering investors with timely research and a comprehensive view of industry dynamics. Whether navigating volatile markets or exploring new trends, Astrada Advisors remains committed to delivering superior insights to drive informed investment decisions. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.